Preprint
20 May 2021
Kazungu, Jacob, Munge, Kenneth, Werner, Kalin, Risko, Nicholas, Ortiz, Andres Vecino,Were, Vincent
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Background: Healthcare workers are at a higher risk of COVID-19 infection during care encounters compared to the general population. Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) have been shown to protect COVID-19 among healthcare workers, however, Kenya has faced PPE shortages that can adequately protect all healthcare workers. We, therefore, examined the health and economic consequences of investing in PPE for healthcare workers in Kenya. Methods: We conducted a cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) analysis using a decision-analytic model following the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) guidelines. We examined two outcomes: 1) the cost per healthcare worker death averted, and 2) the cost per healthcare worker COVID-19 case averted. We performed a multivariate sensitivity analysis using 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Results:...
Journal Article
16 April 2021
Barasa, Edwine, Kairu, Angela, Ng'ang'a, Wangari, Maritim, Marybeth, Were, Vincent, Akech, Samuel, Mwangangi, Mercy
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We estimated unit costs for COVID-19 case management for patients with asymptomatic, mild-to-moderate, severe and critical COVID-19 disease in Kenya. We estimated per-day unit costs of COVID-19 case management for patients. We used a bottom-up approach to estimate full economic costs and adopted a health system perspective and patient episode of care as our time horizon. We obtained data on inputs and their quantities from data provided by three public COVID-19 treatment hospitals in Kenya and augmented this with guidelines. We obtained input prices from a recent costing survey of 20 hospitals in Kenya and from market prices for Kenya. Per-day, per-patient unit costs for asymptomatic patients and patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 disease under home-based care are 1993.01 Kenyan shilling (KES) (US$18.89) and 1995.17 KES (US$18.991), respectively. When these patients are...
Journal Article
9 April 2021
Janssens, Wendy, Pradhan, Menno, de Groot, Richard, Sidze, Estelle, Donfouet, Hermann Pythagore Pierre, Abajobir, Amanuel
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This research assesses how low-income households in rural Kenya coped with the immediate economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. It uses granular financial data from weekly household interviews covering six weeks before the first case was detected in Kenya to five weeks after during which various containment measures were implemented. Based on household-level fixed-effects regressions, our results suggest that income from work decreased with almost one-third and income from gifts and remittances reduced by more than one-third after the start of the pandemic. Nevertheless, household expenditures on food remained at pre-COVID levels. We do not find evidence that households coped with reduced income through increased borrowing, selling assets or withdrawing savings. Instead, they gave out less gifts and remittances themselves, lent less money to others and postponed loan...
Working Paper
30 March 2021
Edwine Barasa , Jacob Kazungu , Stacey Organi , Evelyn Kabia , Morris Ogero and Kadondi Kasera
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This paper presents an analysis of the indirect health effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya. We employed a mixed-methods approach, combining the analysis of secondary quantitative data obtained from the Kenya Health Information System database (from January 2019 to November 2020) and a qualitative inquiry involving key informant interviews and document reviews. Quantitative data were analysed using an interrupted time series analysis (using March 2020 as the intervention period). Thematic analysis approach was employed to analyse qualitative data. Quantitative findings were mixed, with statistically significant reduction in inpatient utilization, and increase in the number of sexual violence cases per OPD visit that could be attributed to COVID-19 and its mitigation measures. Key informants reported that while financing of essential health services and domestic supply...
Journal Article
13 March 2021
Wangari, Edwin N,Gichuki, Peter,Abuor, Angelyne A,Wambui, Jacqueline,Okeyo, Stephen O,Oyatsi, Henry T N,Odikara, Shadrack,Kulohoma, Benard W
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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has ravaged the world’s socioeconomic systems forcing many governments across the globe to implement unprecedented stringent mitigation measures to restrain its rapid spread and adverse effects. A disproportionate number of COVID-19 related morbidities and mortalities were predicted to occur in Africa. However, Africa still has a lower than predicted number of cases, 4% of the global pandemic burden. In this open letter, we highlight some of the early stringent countermeasures implemented in Kenya, a sub-Saharan African country, to avert the severe effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. These mitigation measures strike a balance between minimising COVID-19 associated morbidity and fatalities and its adverse economic impact, and taken together have significantly dampened the pandemic’s impact on Kenya’s populace.
Journal Article
5 March 2021
Pinchoff, Jessie,Austrian, Karen,Rajshekhar, Nandita,Abuya, Timothy,Kangwana, Beth,Ochako, Rhoune,Tidwell, James Benjamin,Mwanga, Daniel,Muluve, Eva,Mbushi, Faith,Nzioki, Mercy,Ngo, Thoai D
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COVID-19 may spread rapidly in densely populated urban informal settlements. Kenya swiftly implemented mitigation policies; we assess the economic, social and health-related harm disproportionately impacting women. A prospective longitudinal cohort study with repeated mobile phone surveys in April, May and June 2020. 2009 households across five informal settlements in Nairobi, sampled from two previously interviewed cohorts. Outcomes include food insecurity, risk of household violence and forgoing necessary health services due to the pandemic. Gender-stratified linear probability regression models were constructed to determine the factors associated with these outcomes. By May, more women than men reported adverse effects of COVID-19 mitigation policies on their lives. Women were 6 percentage points more likely to skip a meal versus men (coefficient: 0.055; 95% CI 0.016 to 0.094),...
Journal Article
14 February 2021
Karp, Celia,Wood, Shannon N,Guiella, Georges,Gichangi, Peter,Bell, Suzanne O,Anglewicz, Philip,Larson, Elizabeth,Zimmerman, Linnea,Moreau, Caroline
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Evidence from health emergencies suggests COVID-19 will disrupt women’s sexual and reproductive health (SRH). In sub-Saharan Africa, which experiences the highest rates of unintended pregnancy and unsafe abortion globally, COVID-19 is projected to slow recent progress toward universal access to contraceptive services. We used longitudinal data collected from women at risk of unintended pregnancy in Burkina Faso (n=1186) and Kenya (n=2784) before (November 2019-February 2020) and during (May-July 2020) COVID-19 to quantify contraceptive dynamics during COVID-19; examine sociodemographic factors and COVID-19 experiences related to contraceptive dynamics; and assess COVID-19-related reasons for contraceptive non-use. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to examine correlates of contraceptive dynamics amid COVID-19. Most women did not change their contraceptive...
Event
8 December 2020, 12:00 pm
This webinar discusses some of methods used at the start of the pandemic to estimate clinical management costs of COVID -19 and challenges faced in doing this, drawing on recent experience from South Africa and Kenya, presented by Dr Ijeoma Edoka, Research Director at PRICELESS and Dr Angela Kairu, research officer at the KEMRI-Wellcome Trust. Dr Maryam Huda will be chairing the event, and Dr Susmita Chatterjee will be discussing the papers and her experience in India.
Preprint
13 October 2020
Barasa, Edwine,Kairu, Angela,Nganga, Wangari,Maritim, Marybeth,Were,Vincent,Akesh, Samuel,Mwangangi, Mercy
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Case management for COVID-19 patients is one of key interventions in country responses to the pandemic. Countries need information on the costs of case management to inform resource mobilization, planning and budgeting, purchasing arrangements, and assessments of the cost-effectiveness of interventions. We estimated unit costs for COVID-19 case management for patients with asymptomatic, mild to moderate, severe, and critical COVID-19 disease in Kenya. We estimated per patient per day unit costs of COVID-19 case management for patients that are asymptomatic and those that have mild to moderate, severe, and critical symptoms. For asymptomatic and mild to moderate patients, we estimated unit costs for home-based care and institutional (hospitals and isolation centers). We used an ingredients approach, adopted a health system perspective and patient episode of care as our time horizon....