Preprint
14 May 2021
Farzana Sharmin
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The most severe threat that the Covid-19 pandemic poses to the global economy is the need to choose between human lives and livelihoods. Bangladesh must assess the implications of such impacts on Bangladesh’s macro-financial scenario to maintain the economy’s current high growth trajectory. The paper outlines the major Covid-19 shock wave transmission channels to the four major sectors of the Bangladesh economy. Authorities around the world have taken every precaution possible to halt the spread of the pandemic. An aggregate transmission framework that includes these four sectors is required to contain the impact of Covid-19 can propagate through these sectors and eventually impact macro-financial stability.
Journal Article
6 February 2021
Hussain, Yaseen,Muhammad, Khayal,Umer, Muhammad Farooq,Omarkhail, Abdullah,Khan, Siraj,Kamran, Muhammad,Rashid, Haroon,Khan, Zakir
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A pandemic coronavirus infectious disease-2019 (COVID-19) was first originated in December 2019 in Wuhan, China. The entire world was locked down along with China to prevent the local transmission and wide geographical spread [1]. On the 30th of January, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the COVID-19 as public health emergency due to the increasing number of cases around the world [2]. The WHO data on 7 May 2020 showed more than 3588700 confirmed and 247500 death cases of COVID-19 around the world [3]. Taking into account the transmission, morbidity, and mortality of COVID-19, it is observed that most of the developed countries having advanced healthcare systems along with using their innovative research have been failed to cope with COVID-19. On the other hand, developing countries with their struggling and compromised healthcare system are even failed to record the...
Preprint
3 September 2020
Shonchoy, Abu,Mahzab, Moogdho,Mahmood, Towhid Iqram
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Background: Bangladesh is among the top fifteen SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) affected countries in the world. However, the country has the lowest testing capacity per million in that group. Faced with growing pressure to continue livelihoods, Bangladesh government lifted the lockdown abruptly, costing an immediate surge in the virus caseload. Against this backdrop, there is a dire need to derive data-driven planning, for mitigation and management of COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh – prioritizing the efficient allocation of limited resources. Utilizing publicly available data, this paper introduces a contagion risk (CR) index, which can work as a credible proxy to detect potential virus hotspots – aiding policymakers with proper planning. Methods: Grounded on disease spreadability vectors, we derived the CR-Index at the district level, based on nine variables across five domains:...