Preprint
14 June 2020
Robinson, Lisa A,Sullivan, Ryan,Shogren, Jason F
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Numerous analyses of the benefits and costs of COVID-19 policies have been completed quickly as the crisis unfolds. The results frequently depend largely on the approach used to value mortality risk reductions, typically expressed as the value per statistical life (VSL). Many analyses rely on a population-average VSL estimate of $10 million; some adjust VSL for life expectancy at the age of death. We explore the implications of theory and empirical studies which suggest that the relationship between age and VSL is uncertain. We compare the effects of three approaches: (1) an invariant population-average VSL; (2) a constant value per statistical life-year (VSLY); and (3) a VSL that follows an inverse-U pattern, peaking in middle age. We find that when applied to the U.S. age distribution of COVID-19 deaths, these approaches result in average VSL estimates of $10.63 million, $4.47...
Journal Article
14 June 2020
Stein, Felix,Perry, Meghan,Banda, Geoffrey,Woolhouse, Mark,Mutapi, Francisca
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Summary boxThe adequate provision of medical oxygen is going to make the difference between life and death for the majority of patients with COVID-19 in Africa.Sub-Saharan African countries lack affordable and reliable oxygen supply.There is evidence from sub-Saharan Africa for why medical oxygen provision must be made a regional urgent priority.Efforts being made in some African countries demonstrate how oxygen provision can be scaled up through innovative cheap technologies.IntroductionOxygen saves lives. Its provision is a critical component of emergency respiratory resuscitation around the world, and it consequently features on the WHO’s list of essential medicines.1 Oxygen therapy is not just used for pneumonia and other lung diseases. It is also crucial for treating various non-respiratory conditions that result in hypoxaemia, such as sepsis, severe malaria, trauma and...
Preprint
12 June 2020
Nannyonga, Betty K,Wanyenze, Rhoda K,Kaleebu, Pontiano,Ssenkusu, John M,Lutalo, Tom,Makumbi, Fredrick Edward,Kwizera, Arthur,Byakika, Pauline,Kirungi, Willford,Bosa, Henry Kyobe,Ssembatya, Vincent A,Mwebesa, Henry G,Atwine, Diana,Aceng, Jane Ruth,Tegegn, Yonas Woldermariam
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Evidence that face masks provide effective protection against respiratory infections in the community is scarce. However, face masks are widely used by health workers as part of droplet precautions when caring for patients with respiratory infections. It would therefore be reasonable to suggest that consistent widespread use of face masks in the community could prevent further spread of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). In this study we examine public face mask wearing in Uganda where a proportion wears masks to protect against acquiring, and the other to prevent from transmitting SARS-CoV-2. The objective of this study was to determine what percentage of the population would have to wear face masks to reduce susceptibility to and infectivity of COVID-19 in Uganda, keeping the basic reproduction number below unity and/or flattening the curve. We used...
Preprint
12 June 2020
Fernandes, Deepali
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Provides an overview of the impact of the COVID 19 pandemic on labour migrants and diasporas economic contributions to their countries of origin.
Preprint
11 June 2020
Fujita, Kohei,Ito, Takanori,Saito, Zentaro,Kanai, Osamu,Nakatani, Koichi,Mio, Tadashi
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Objective: Current pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with a heavy burden on the mental and physical health of patients, regional healthcare resources, and global economic activity. Many patients with lung cancer are thought to be affected by this situation. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on lung cancer treatment scheduling. Study design: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of lung cancer patients who were undergoing anti-cancer treatment at the National Hospital Organization Kyoto Medical Center (600 beds) in Kyoto, Japan, between March 1, 2020 and May 31, 2020. Methods: After the medical records were reviewed, the patients were assigned to one of two groups, depending on whether their lung cancer treatment schedule was delayed. We assessed the characteristics, types of histopathology and treatment, and the...
Journal Article
10 June 2020
Di Renzo, Laura,Gualtieri, Paola,Pivari, Francesca,Soldati, Laura,Attinà, Alda,Cinelli, Giulia,Leggeri, Claudia,Caparello, Giovanna,Barrea, Luigi,Scerbo, Francesco,Esposito, Ernesto,De Lorenzo, Antonino
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On December 12th 2019, a new coronavirus (SARS-Cov2) emerged in Wuhan, China, sparking a pandemic of acute respiratory syndrome in humans (COVID-19). On the 24th of April 2020, the number of COVID-19 deaths in the world, according to the COVID-Case Tracker by Johns Hopkins University, was 195,313, and the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases was 2,783,512. The COVID-19 pandemic represents a massive impact on human health, causing sudden lifestyle changes, through social distancing and isolation at home, with social and economic consequences. Optimizing public health during this pandemic requires not only knowledge from the medical and biological sciences, but also of all human sciences related to lifestyle, social and behavioural studies, including dietary habits and lifestyle. Our study aimed to investigate the immediate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on eating habits and lifestyle...
Preprint
10 June 2020
Latha Narayanan,Mansi Pandit,Subhro Basu,Arijeet Karmakar,Vanshika Bidhan,Hrithik Kumar,Kousheen Brar
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The emergence of COVID -19 pandemic has severely impacted individuals from all walks of life. The rapid spread of the disease to nearly all parts of the country has posed enormous health, economic, environmental and social challenges to the entire human population. In the absence of any effective drugs and vaccines for treatment, social distancing and other preventive measures are the only alternatives. Lockdown is among one of the options suggested by WHO to reduce spread of the virus. India was quick to close its international borders and enforce the world’s largest COVID lockdown on March 22, 2020. The present study attempts to highlight the impact of imposed nationwide lockdown on society and environment alike along with analysis of lifestyle changes. The study was based on an online survey using a structured questionnaire with over 1000 responders across the country. The...
Preprint
10 June 2020
Colbourn, Tim,Waites, William,Panovska Griffiths, Jasmina,Manheim, David,Sturniolo, Simone,Colbourn, Greg,Bowie, Cam,Godfrey, Keith M,Peto, Julian,Burgess, Rochelle A,Foster, Derek,Mccoy, David,Alwan, Nisreen A,Yao, Guiqing,Ouyang, Kang,Roderick, Paul J,Pizzo, Elena,Hill, Tony,Mcgrath, Nuala,Orcutt, Miriam,Evans, Owain,Cheetham, Nathan J,Sculpher, Mark,Bonell, Chris,Gomes, Manuel,Raine, Rosalind
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Background: The COVID-19 epidemic in the UK has resulted in over 280,000 reported cases and over 40,000 deaths as of 5th June 2020. In the context of a slower increase in reported cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 over the last few weeks compared to earlier in the epidemic, the UK is starting to relax the physical restrictions (‘lockdown’) that have been imposed since 23 March 2020. This has been accompanied by the announcement of a strategy to test people for infection, trace contacts of those tested positive, and isolate positive diagnoses. While such policies are expected to be impactful, there is no conclusive evidence of which approach to this is likely to achieve the most appropriate balance between benefits and costs. This study combines mathematical and economic modelling to estimate the impact, costs, feasibility, and health and economic effects of different...
Journal Article
10 June 2020
Iannaccone, Sandro,Alemanno, Federica,Houdayer, Elise,Brugliera, Luigia,Castellazzi, Paola,Cianflone, Domenico,Meloni, Carlo,Ambrosio, Alberto,Mortini, Pietro,Spina, Alfio,Filippi, Massimo
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The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant motor, cognitive, psychological, neurological and cardiological disabilities in many infected patients. Functional rehabilitation of infectious COVID-19 patients has been implemented in the acute care wards and in appropriate, ad hoc, multidisciplinary COVID-19 rehabilitation units. However, because COVID-19 rehabilitation units are a clinical novelty, clinical and organizational benchmarks are not yet available. The aim of this study is to describe the organizational needs and operational costs of such a unit, by comparing its activity, organization, and costs with 2 other functional rehabilitation units, in San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy. The 2-month activity of the COVID-19 Rehabilitation Unit at San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy, which was created in response to the emergency need for rehabilitation of COVID-19 patients, was...
Preprint
9 June 2020
Nazroo, James,Becares, Laia
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Background In the absence of direct data on ethnic inequalities in COVID-19 related mortality in the UK, we examine the relationship between ethnic composition of an area and rate of mortality in the area. Methods Ecological analysis using COVID-19 related mortality rates occurring by 24th April 2020, and ethnic composition of the population, across local authorities in England and Wales. Account is taken of age, population density, area deprivation and pollution. Results For every 1% rise in proportion of the population who are ethnic minority, COVID-19 related deaths increased by 5.10 (3.99 to 6.21) per million. This rise is present for each ethnic minority category examined. The size of this increase is a little reduced in a fully adjusted model, suggesting that some of the association results from ethnic minority people living in more densely populated, more polluted and more...